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Red33
13722.7
9811.7
171729.3
Blue8
37494.2
210214.2
138811.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28180406080100338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1717
#14
29.30.5
21.421.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
2102
#18
14.21.0
7.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1372
#34
2.70.5
3.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
1388
#38
11.41.0
8.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
981
#58
1.70.5
2.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
3749
#54
4.22.0
4.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End