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Qual 302011 San Diego Regional
Red36
154017.8
35006.2
347711.8
Blue9
5852.5
23487.6
34910.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20160406080100369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#8
17.81.4
11.9→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.2
2348
#26
7.60.6
7.8→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3477
#6
11.81.4
5.5→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
585
#42
2.50.6
7.4→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3500
#31
6.21.4
1.9→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
3491
#28
0.80.6
1.5→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—