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Red3
28279.5
23487.6
37494.2
Blue42
248513.3
38495.0
25438.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181901030405060342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2827
#33
9.51.3
3.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
13.32.0
8.810.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2348
#26
7.61.3
10.69.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2543
#40
8.42.0
7.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3749
#54
4.21.3
4.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3849
#59
5.02.0
2.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End