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Red85
39922.3
171729.3
248513.3
Blue23
81211.5
154017.8
33416.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5518040801008523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1717
#14
29.32.9
23.826.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
17.80.0
13.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
#12
22.32.9
15.318.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
812
#37
11.50.0
6.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
13.32.9
10.813.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
3341
#46
6.60.0
2.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End