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Red50
12668.7
153827.3
33416.6
Blue53
97324.6
28394.9
23394.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332001040506070805053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#10
27.31.5
20.922.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
973
#7
24.62.6
11.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1266
#36
8.71.5
7.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
2839
#50
4.92.6
5.98.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3341
#46
6.61.5
2.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2339
#45
4.92.6
4.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End