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Red0
34765.4
25438.4
34910.8
Blue18
153827.3
5852.5
24931.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18320406080018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2543
#40
8.41.4
9.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.8
1538
#10
27.30.9
24.924.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3476
#47
5.41.5
7.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
585
#42
2.51.0
3.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3491
#28
0.81.4
2.71.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2493
#41
1.01.0
2.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End