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Qual 242011 Silicon Valley Regional
Red0
30228.6
35034.5
28542.4
Blue2
85212.1
15164.2
35019.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17170102030405002

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3022
#22
8.61.4
5.0→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.4
852
#27
12.10.9
11.8→10.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3503
#52
4.50.9
4.0→3.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.5
3501
#24
9.01.3
2.1→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2854
#43
2.41.4
7.7→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.8
1516
#46
4.20.9
3.5→2.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—