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Red21
1007.3
81212.9
135114.8
Blue31
28542.4
19215.0
67016.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213404060801001201402131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#32
14.80.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
670
#5
16.40.1
6.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
812
#49
12.90.1
11.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
192
#21
15.00.0
15.415.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
100
#45
7.30.1
9.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2854
#43
2.40.1
9.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End