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Qual 542011 Silicon Valley Regional
Red50
245614.5
85212.1
11417.5
Blue17
19215.0
17002.5
1007.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49310204060801005017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#15
17.50.2
17.4→17.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
192
#21
15.00.8
16.7→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2456
#11
14.50.2
17.6→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.2
100
#45
7.30.8
10.0→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
852
#27
12.10.2
11.1→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.6
1700
#25
2.51.4
7.2→5.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—