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Qual 622011 Silicon Valley Regional
Red16
11417.5
17002.5
5818.8
Blue63
21419.6
15164.2
132326.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283602060801663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#15
17.50.7
17.6→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.4
1323
#3
26.81.4
25.1→26.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
581
#37
8.80.7
5.8→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
2141
#4
9.61.4
7.0→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1700
#25
2.51.1
5.8→4.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.7
1516
#46
4.21.4
3.0→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—