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Red30
147715.2
241516.6
16427.4
Blue0
573.0
29527.4
33451.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2611020406080100300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#12
16.60.5
10.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
2952
#16
7.41.1
3.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1477
#10
15.20.5
9.09.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
57
#37
3.01.1
6.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1642
#27
7.40.5
3.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
3345
#64
1.81.1
3.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End