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Red65
142923.5
21589.7
29527.4
Blue15
246810.6
6534.7
4577.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272401020405060706515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.53.2
15.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
2468
#20
10.60.8
11.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2158
#13
9.73.2
8.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
457
#34
7.20.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2952
#16
7.43.2
2.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
653
#44
4.70.8
2.72.0
Auto
Teleop
End