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Red21
258719.1
31036.1
37001.5
Blue0
37786.6
27217.4
35450.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268020406080210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#19
19.10.2
18.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
2721
#35
7.40.9
7.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3103
#28
6.10.2
3.73.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3778
#53
6.60.9
3.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3700
#59
1.50.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3545
#50
0.70.9
-0.5-1.4
Auto
Teleop
End