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Red19
27896.1
34171.5
258719.1
Blue2
4992.9
30281.7
573.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274020406080192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#19
19.10.3
17.517.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
57
#37
3.00.4
2.01.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.10.4
4.44.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
499
#36
2.90.5
3.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3417
#18
1.50.4
1.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3028
#47
1.70.5
2.21.7
Auto
Teleop
End