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Red0
33664.6
33050.7
30281.7
Blue18
27457.4
12968.7
246810.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021050100150200018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3366
#24
4.61.0
3.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
2468
#20
10.60.1
9.08.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3028
#47
1.71.0
4.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
1296
#32
8.70.1
5.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3305
#55
0.71.0
4.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
2745
#41
7.40.1
4.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End