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Quarterfinal 2-22011 Niles FIRST Robotics District Competition
Red14
90419.5
36587.7
335720.1
Blue18
35099.8
16778.8
357214.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50310204060801001201418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#5
20.10.5
20.0→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.7
3572
#7
14.40.3
14.8→14.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
904
#9
19.50.5
19.3→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.7
3509
#21
9.80.3
10.2→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3658
#23
7.70.5
7.5→7.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.1
1677
#10
8.80.3
9.2→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—