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Red30
5035.9
276721.9
36396.8
Blue20
354615.2
295924.7
36587.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35260204060803020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#15
21.90.2
23.123.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
24.70.4
12.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3639
#33
6.80.2
6.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
3546
#16
15.20.4
8.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
503
#31
5.90.2
4.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3658
#23
7.70.4
5.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End