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Red3
25912.3
36587.7
368810.2
Blue4
362011.9
36404.0
16778.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1711020304050607034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#20
10.20.6
7.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3620
#11
11.90.4
5.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3658
#23
7.70.6
5.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1677
#10
8.80.4
4.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2591
#29
2.30.6
3.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3640
#18
4.00.4
2.01.6
Auto
Teleop
End