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Red0
387515.2
14116.5
36404.0
Blue35
124321.2
261220.7
24054.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243506080100035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#17
16.51.3
14.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
1243
#12
21.20.1
10.410.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3875
#13
15.21.3
9.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2612
#14
20.70.1
19.719.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3640
#18
4.01.3
1.2-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2405
#24
4.80.1
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End