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Qual 482011 Niles FIRST Robotics District Competition
Red56
19419.5
124321.2
276721.9
Blue63
90419.5
368810.2
152815.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40360102030506070805663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#15
21.90.8
18.9→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.4
904
#9
19.51.3
18.3→19.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1243
#12
21.20.8
16.3→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.0
1528
#19
15.21.3
10.0→11.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1941
#4
9.51.2
4.5→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
3688
#20
10.21.3
8.5→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—