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Red101
54716.0
3415.3
93130.4
Blue24
120826.6
36756.2
33724.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6060408010010124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#11
30.40.7
29.830.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1208
#19
26.60.6
27.226.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
547
#6
16.00.9
15.216.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
337
#7
24.80.6
25.424.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
34
#29
15.30.7
14.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
3675
#18
6.20.7
6.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End