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Quarterfinal 4-12011 Smoky Mountain Regional
Red1
151930.0
174113.8
45114.7
Blue0
82923.9
159234.4
102424.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5590020408010012014016010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#9
30.01.0
30.5→29.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.5
1592
#8
34.41.4
35.0→33.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
451
#15
14.71.0
15.3→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.4
1024
#31
24.11.4
24.7→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1741
#5
13.81.0
14.4→13.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.1
829
#28
23.91.4
24.5→23.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—