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Qual 12011 Smoky Mountain Regional
Red45
30001.5
29745.9
93130.4
Blue71
382112.8
37839.9
7145.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304002060801001201401604571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
931
#11
30.40.7
21.8→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.4
71
#1
45.72.0
32.2→34.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2974
#44
5.90.9
5.5→6.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.9
3821
#21
12.86.9
12.8→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3000
#45
1.51.1
4.3→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.4
3783
#38
9.94.0
9.9→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—