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Qual 102011 Smoky Mountain Regional
Red11
382112.8
291815.1
38436.3
Blue4
38614.5
33724.8
38567.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143506080100120140114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2918
#10
15.10.5
9.1→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.6
337
#7
24.81.5
19.7→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3821
#21
12.80.5
5.9→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
3856
#32
7.22.3
5.8→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3843
#36
6.30.5
2.2→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.9
3861
#41
4.52.3
6.1→3.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—