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Red0
14668.2
32148.9
28174.8
Blue30
38567.2
93130.4
36756.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20330406080100030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3214
#37
8.91.8
6.24.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.5
931
#11
30.40.0
20.820.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1466
#39
8.21.8
13.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3856
#32
7.20.1
5.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2817
#42
4.81.8
2.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3675
#18
6.20.1
4.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End