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Red0
29733.2
37974.9
38295.4
Blue74
93130.4
37839.9
36289.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16280406080100074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3829
#40
5.41.5
4.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.0
931
#11
30.42.4
20.823.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3797
#24
4.91.5
5.94.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
3783
#38
9.94.0
4.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2973
#43
3.21.5
7.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
3628
#23
9.74.0
1.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End