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Red6
102424.1
38614.5
23936.7
Blue11
32276.5
28174.8
7913.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361706080100611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#31
24.11.3
21.119.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
79
#12
13.00.5
10.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2393
#22
6.72.2
8.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3227
#25
6.50.5
9.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3861
#41
4.52.2
3.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2817
#42
4.80.8
0.6-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End