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Qual 452011 Smoky Mountain Regional
Red30
38567.2
142124.5
29733.2
Blue72
7913.0
159234.4
124910.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33510204060801003072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#34
24.50.3
23.8→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.9
1592
#8
34.41.2
28.8→29.9
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Teleop—
End—
Second
3856
#32
7.20.5
6.2→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
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blue by 5.7
79
#12
13.01.2
10.0→11.2
Auto—
Teleop—
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Third
2973
#43
3.20.5
6.2→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.9
1249
#20
10.11.2
9.6→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—