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Qual 512011 Smoky Mountain Regional
Red1
29733.2
31403.6
16558.8
Blue6
382112.8
32276.5
37974.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2024040608016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1655
#16
8.81.7
12.7→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.0
3821
#21
12.81.4
8.2→6.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3140
#27
3.61.7
2.6→0.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.0
3227
#25
6.50.9
9.3→8.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2973
#43
3.21.7
5.7→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.7
3797
#24
4.91.4
5.9→4.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—