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Qual 732011 Smoky Mountain Regional
Red82
120826.6
142124.5
28174.8
Blue50
126121.2
38295.4
382112.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543702060801001208250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#19
26.61.5
25.4→27.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
1261
#13
21.20.5
22.9→23.4
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Teleop—
End—
Second
1421
#34
24.51.5
23.3→24.8
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Teleop—
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red by 11.7
3821
#21
12.80.7
12.1→12.8
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Teleop—
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Third
2817
#42
4.82.0
2.8→4.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.6
3829
#40
5.40.7
4.7→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—