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Red0
35263.4
37260.6
33356.9
Blue50
25850.3
142926.1
38335.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931020406080050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#24
6.91.0
5.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
26.11.3
21.623.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3526
#49
3.41.0
1.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3833
#42
5.01.8
2.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3726
#22
0.61.0
4.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2585
#45
0.31.8
4.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End