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Red39
18654.4
37623.3
62428.8
Blue9
22764.4
30126.3
38335.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356020406080100399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
28.80.7
16.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.5
3012
#39
6.30.1
3.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1865
#44
4.40.7
10.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3833
#42
5.00.1
4.03.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3762
#41
3.30.7
4.65.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2276
#10
4.40.1
2.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End