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Red0
332011.4
37260.6
38335.0
Blue18
5711.2
6532.4
29794.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1112051520018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3320
#29
11.40.9
3.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
57
#15
11.20.3
4.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3833
#42
5.00.9
3.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2979
#14
4.50.5
3.13.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3726
#22
0.60.9
3.52.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
653
#32
2.40.4
3.84.2
Auto
Teleop
End