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Qual 392011 Lone Star Regional
Red60
37287.6
62428.8
332011.4
Blue6
37271.7
37359.3
18654.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23180406080100120606

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
28.83.2
18.5→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.5
3735
#35
9.31.1
7.6→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3320
#29
11.43.2
2.8→6.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.0
1865
#44
4.41.1
8.7→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3728
#28
7.63.2
0.8→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.9
3727
#48
1.71.1
2.5→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—