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Red0
15133.7
36964.4
14842.8
Blue3
37581.4
37310.2
38335.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18401030405060708003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3696
#26
4.41.3
7.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3833
#42
5.00.3
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1513
#31
3.71.3
5.33.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3758
#18
1.40.3
1.81.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1484
#54
2.81.3
3.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3731
#11
0.20.3
1.51.2
Auto
Teleop
End