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Qual 652011 Lone Star Regional
Red14
22764.4
37411.5
4417.5
Blue6
35263.4
18175.4
38233.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101602030405060146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
441
#33
7.50.3
7.9→8.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
1817
#21
5.40.8
7.6→6.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2276
#10
4.40.3
1.4→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
3823
#46
3.60.8
5.7→5.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3741
#40
1.50.3
1.3→1.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.8
3526
#49
3.40.8
2.1→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—