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Red50
37287.6
38343.2
310310.7
Blue0
1898-1.4
36964.4
20721.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183103040506070500

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10.71.7
9.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
3696
#26
4.40.4
4.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3728
#28
7.62.5
5.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
2072
#51
1.00.4
1.31.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3834
#12
3.22.5
1.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1898
#50
-1.40.4
-1.0-1.4
Auto
Teleop
End