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Red50
18919.6
348315.7
16953.5
Blue20
323013.9
35135.3
32417.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2928202530354045505020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.4
15.716.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3230
#10
13.90.1
14.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.60.4
9.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
7.40.2
8.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1695
#19
3.50.4
3.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3513
#18
5.30.1
5.85.7
Auto
Teleop
End