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Red6
16953.5
18919.6
348315.7
Blue8
32417.4
323013.9
35135.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30271020405068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.4
16.015.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3230
#10
13.90.3
14.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.60.4
9.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
7.40.4
7.97.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1695
#19
3.50.5
3.93.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3513
#18
5.30.3
5.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End