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Red33
348315.7
18919.6
16953.5
Blue24
35135.3
323013.9
32417.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2926102040503324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.70.1
15.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
3230
#10
13.90.0
14.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.60.1
9.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
7.40.1
7.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1695
#19
3.50.1
3.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3513
#18
5.30.0
5.45.3
Auto
Teleop
End