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Red18
323013.9
34051.7
25945.8
Blue15
32417.4
15668.4
3289-0.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30100204060801001815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#10
13.90.6
19.218.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1566
#15
8.40.1
5.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2594
#17
5.80.8
3.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
7.40.1
3.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3405
#21
1.70.8
4.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
3289
#11
-0.30.1
5.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End