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Red36
30063.6
8416.9
35135.3
Blue2
30130.4
24840.8
36650.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13401020304050362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#6
6.91.2
5.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2484
#25
0.80.2
2.22.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3513
#18
5.31.6
4.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
3013
#13
0.40.2
1.91.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3006
#26
3.61.7
1.73.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
3665
#30
0.20.3
1.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End