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Red21
32251.6
299320.7
36441.9
Blue34
16969.2
30063.6
15668.4
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28190104050602134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.3
22.922.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
9.20.8
8.08.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3644
#31
1.90.3
2.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.5
1566
#15
8.41.0
9.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3225
#29
1.60.3
1.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3006
#26
3.60.9
3.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End