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Quarterfinal 2-32011 Virginia Regional
Red44
109511.6
159819.3
161014.7
Blue80
12217.7
20688.9
111117.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464202060804480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1598
#17
19.30.0
19.3→19.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
1111
#12
17.90.6
17.3→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1610
#11
14.70.0
14.7→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
122
#7
17.70.6
17.1→17.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1095
#5
11.60.0
11.6→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
2068
#55
8.90.8
8.0→8.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—