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Quarterfinal 4-12011 Virginia Regional
Red47
15225.0
167639.3
2538.0
Blue83
173121.8
238620.6
105812.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874901001504783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#6
39.30.6
39.0→38.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.5
1731
#8
21.80.6
21.8→22.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
25
#4
38.00.6
37.6→37.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 17.3
2386
#23
20.60.5
20.6→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1522
#30
5.00.6
4.6→4.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.8
1058
#13
12.70.5
12.7→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—