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Qual 202011 Virginia Regional
Red78
1134.2
5397.0
21865.3
Blue20
33591.7
105812.7
12217.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383202060807820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#9
34.22.5
28.3→30.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 16.4
122
#7
17.70.9
18.3→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
539
#14
7.03.4
5.7→9.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.8
1058
#13
12.70.7
13.3→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2186
#31
5.32.3
3.1→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.6
3359
#49
1.71.1
1.3→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—