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Qual 232011 Virginia Regional
Red81
109511.6
108622.5
189510.2
Blue0
161014.7
6174.5
24023.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36130206080810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#24
22.52.7
16.1→18.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.8
1610
#11
14.71.4
9.0→7.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1095
#5
11.64.0
7.0→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.1
617
#61
4.51.4
4.6→3.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1895
#3
10.22.7
9.7→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
2402
#41
3.91.4
3.4→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—