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Qual 372011 Virginia Regional
Red6
141821.2
33591.7
15992.7
Blue20
31367.5
19088.8
38724.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2415010203040506070620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#18
21.20.8
22.1→21.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.5
1908
#27
8.80.3
8.4→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1599
#60
2.71.4
1.0→-0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.8
3136
#39
7.50.3
7.6→7.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3359
#49
1.71.4
-0.3→-1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
3872
#16
4.80.3
0.7→1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—