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Red3
109511.6
5397.0
36255.5
Blue0
30792.1
299811.2
30721.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291002040608030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.61.9
9.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2998
#28
11.21.1
10.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
539
#14
7.01.9
9.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
3079
#62
2.11.1
2.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3625
#19
5.51.9
6.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3072
#63
1.71.1
0.5-0.6
Auto
Teleop
End