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Qual 542011 Virginia Regional
Red33
141821.2
4055.1
18294.7
Blue6
4013.8
31431.3
61214.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29240102040506070336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#18
21.20.2
21.3→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
612
#20
14.90.9
12.7→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
405
#57
5.10.4
4.0→4.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
401
#44
3.81.6
10.1→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1829
#42
4.70.4
3.1→3.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
3143
#50
1.31.6
1.9→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—